The PP considers the amnesty issue politically 'amortized' and expects the upcoming EU court ruling to have little impact, while the Constitutional Court plans to delay its decision on key amnesty cases until October, aligning with political calculations in a shifting landscape.
The European Court of Justice (TJUE) will rule on July 16 on the legality of Spain's amnesty law for Catalan separatists, addressing questions from the Court of Auditors and the National Audience on financial risks and terrorism allegations Source: ABC.es. The ruling is widely expected to uphold the law, consistent with the opinion of Advocate General Dean Spielmann, who argued it does not harm EU financial interests Source: El Confidencial. Following this, the Constitutional Court will decide on the amnesty's application to Carles Puigdemont and others convicted of embezzlement, though sources indicate this will not occur until October, partly due to deliberate timing Source: El Confidencial.
The PP acknowledges that the amnesty has lost its political bite, as corruption scandals now dominate the opposition's focus Source: ABC.es. The party will not make the TJUE ruling a major campaign issue. Meanwhile, the delay in the Constitutional Court's decision suits the government, as relations between the PSOE and Junts have soured, and bringing Puigdemont back is no longer a priority Source: El Confidencial.
“En Génova tienen claro que la amnistía está «amortizada» y asumen que no tiene ya desgaste para el Gobierno.”
“Fuentes cercanas al órgano aseguran a El Confidencial que ambas sentencias se harán esperar y no habrá decisión al menos hasta octubre.”
“Todas las fuentes consultadas asumen que el TJUE avalará la ley de amnistía y permitirá al Tribunal Constitucional seguir su camino.”
“El pronunciamiento del TJUE viene precedido de la opinión que el abogado general Dean Spielmann publicó el pasado 13 de noviembre, avalando los principales puntos de la ley de amnistía.”