The battle for AI supremacy may be won or lost over physical infrastructure, not algorithms, while a mounting backlash threatens to derail progress.
Countries that own the computing infrastructure—data centers, semiconductor factories, power plants—will dominate the AI economy. The United States currently hosts more than 4,200 data centers, nearly half the global capacity, while China has fewer than 500. Microsoft alone plans to invest around $80 billion in AI data centers this year.
AI is becoming politically unpopular in the West. Protests against data centers have scuppered nearly $100 billion worth of projects in the US, and around 40% of voters want AI banned from most industries. Opposition is fierce: more Americans would welcome a nuclear reactor next door than a data center.
If backlash stifles innovation, countries risk ceding the AI frontier to authoritarian regimes. "Scenarios in which some countries give in to popular rage but others forge ahead are also worrying," warns The Economist. Meanwhile, the infrastructure gap leaves many nations as mere users of AI applications rather than owners of the underlying technology.
