The Quad grouping of Australia, Japan, India, and the United States has maintained a steady pace of working-level engagements over the past year, even as a leaders' summit has not been held since September 2024 and tensions between Washington and New Delhi have flared. Despite predictions of its demise, the Quad has held at least one working-level meeting per month under the Trump administration, according to The Diplomat. However, a US strike on an oil tanker in the Gulf of Oman that killed three Indian sailors has severely tested bilateral relations, casting doubt on the group's unity Source: SCMP.
“Since it was first conceived over two decades ago, the Quad’s obituary has been penned time and again by commentators and strategic rivals alike.”
“Despite the persistent US-India fissures that could slow down the Quad’s momentum, however, a counter-unifying force may ultimately prove stronger, analysts said: shared anxieties among the partner countries over their dependence on China for critical supply chains.”
Despite political volatility, the regular tempo of on-the-ground cooperation may insulate the Quad from higher-level disruptions. Reinforcing working-level relationships could be its best path to survival Source: The Diplomat.
ASEAN ministers meet amid renewed Iran war and South China Sea tensions